Universal Credit

Claim made by: The Department for Work and Pensions
Location: In the news, and in a report released by the Department for Work & Pensions
Spotted on: 2015-02-18

People claiming Universal Credit are 5 percent more likely to find employment within 4 months compared to those claiming Jobseekers Allowance

Update 2015-05-06

I received a response from John Herron, a member of the Ministerial Correspondence Team, who said that actually "Universal Credit claimants are 5 percentage points more likely to find employment within 4 months compared to those claiming Jobseeker's Allowance". It is important to highlight here the difference between 5 percentage points (which is an absolute value) and 5% (which is a relative value), and indicates that though the report may have found a difference in employment, the results and statistics are being misquoted by others and may be quite misleading to the public. Though I appreciated clarification on this point, I did not receive any information on whether this difference in employment was statistically significant.

Rating

It's nonsense

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